Land Use Characteristics of Commuter Rail Station Areas and Their Impact on Station Ridership: A Case Study of Japan Railways in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area

Exploring the relationship between land use characteristics and ridership in railway station areas provides crucial decision-making support for station area planning. Previous research has mostly focused on subways, with a lack of studies on the land use characteristics and ridership of commuter rail stations, particularly in relation to the differences and impacts across various passenger catchment areas (PCAs). This study employed a multinomial logit model to evaluate the land use characteristics within 1000 m of Japan Railways (JR) stations in four different PCAs of the Tokyo metropolitan area (TMA). Additionally, regression models and a multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model were used to analyze how land use characteristics in these PCAs affected station ridership. The key findings were as follows: (1) the land use characteristics around commuter rail stations exhibit distinct zonal patterns; within 250 m, public transport stops and public service facilities are the most densely concentrated; the highest residential population density is found between 250 and 750 m; and commercial facilities are mostly clustered in the 500 to 750 m range; (2) the impact of land use factors on ridership varies in intensity across different spatial zones; the density of public transport stops and street network density is most significant within 250 m, whereas commercial facility density is greatest within the 500–750 m PCA; (3) The land use characteristics within 500 m of stations have greater explanatory power for passenger flow, and the goodness of fit of the MGWR model surpasses that of the linear regression model.