A hybrid deep learning framework for short-term load forecasting with improved data cleansing and preprocessing techniques

• A novel preprocessing technique with O(N) time complexity is proposed which is 87 % more accurate than the standard imputation methods. • A simple hybrid deep learning model for STLF is proposed having fewer parameters and less training and testing time. • The accuracy of the STLF model is enhanced by reducing the MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE to 0.0054, 0.0734, 0.0568, and 0.2424 respectively. • A conceptual framework is proposed to enhance the grid's reliability by using the forecasted generation and demand values. The dynamic variations in connected loads and the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources significantly impact smart grid reliability. Accurate load and generation forecasting stand pivotal for enhancing grid reliability and efficient operations. In this study, a comprehensive four-step approach is introduced for short-term load forecasting (STLF) aimed at precisely estimating power demand and generation. The process unfolds with data collection, followed by rigorous standardization, preprocessing, and cleansing of demand and generation data. Subsequently, a hybrid deep learning model, comprising bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM), bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU), and a fully connected layer is trained using the clean data. This model harnesses the temporal dependencies within the data for accurate predictions. The model's performance is then evaluated using mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), providing forecasted values for both generation and demand on minute, hourly, daily, and weekly intervals. Notably, the proposed approach achieves a remarkable MSE of 0.0058 for load forecasting and 0.0033 for generation forecasting. Comparative analysis with state-of-the-art (SOTA) techniques in terms of accuracy and computational cost underscores the superior accuracy of the proposed framework in forecasting both generation and demand. Importantly, the proposed approach bridges the gap in reliability enhancement for smart grids operating, a facet lacking in many existing methodologies. This signifies the potential of the proposed approach to bolster smart grid reliability, ensuring more reliable operations.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Results in Engineering
Published
2024-11-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2024.103560
Citations
27
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.63
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

A hybrid deep learning framework for short-term load forecasting with improved data cleansing and preprocessing techniques

Muhammad Adnan Khan, Salah Eldeen Gasim Mohamed, Muhammad Tariq, Muhammad Sajid Iqbal
27 citations
Results in Engineering
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
5.63
article

A hybrid deep learning framework for short-term load forecasting with improved data cleansing and preprocessing techniques

Muhammad Adnan Khan, Salah Eldeen Gasim Mohamed, Muhammad Tariq, Muhammad Sajid Iqbal
article en
27 citations

Abstract

• A novel preprocessing technique with O(N) time complexity is proposed which is 87 % more accurate than the standard imputation methods. • A simple hybrid deep learning model for STLF is proposed having fewer parameters and less training and testing time. • The accuracy of the STLF model is enhanced by reducing the MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE to 0.0054, 0.0734, 0.0568, and 0.2424 respectively. • A conceptual framework is proposed to enhance the grid's reliability by using the forecasted generation and demand values. The dynamic variations in connected loads and the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources significantly impact smart grid reliability. Accurate load and generation forecasting stand pivotal for enhancing grid reliability and efficient operations. In this study, a comprehensive four-step approach is introduced for short-term load forecasting (STLF) aimed at precisely estimating power demand and generation. The process unfolds with data collection, followed by rigorous standardization, preprocessing, and cleansing of demand and generation data. Subsequently, a hybrid deep learning model, comprising bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM), bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU), and a fully connected layer is trained using the clean data. This model harnesses the temporal dependencies within the data for accurate predictions. The model's performance is then evaluated using mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), providing forecasted values for both generation and demand on minute, hourly, daily, and weekly intervals. Notably, the proposed approach achieves a remarkable MSE of 0.0058 for load forecasting and 0.0033 for generation forecasting. Comparative analysis with state-of-the-art (SOTA) techniques in terms of accuracy and computational cost underscores the superior accuracy of the proposed framework in forecasting both generation and demand. Importantly, the proposed approach bridges the gap in reliability enhancement for smart grids operating, a facet lacking in many existing methodologies. This signifies the potential of the proposed approach to bolster smart grid reliability, ensuring more reliable operations.

Results in EngineeringVol. 24
National University of Computer and Emerging Sciences (PK), Sudan University of Science and Technology (SD)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
5.63
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.