The Cost of Borrowing as a Limiting Factor of Non-Life Insurance Development: The Italian Case

We address the effect of local financial conditions on the demand for non-life insurance. We consider the spread between the interest rates faced by the insured on the local credit market and the return rates earned by the insurer on national or international financial markets, sketching how it influences the present value of an insurance policy; we then use the local invariance of the insurer’s returns to identify the effect on demand. Drawing on a panel of Italian provinces with ample variability in insurance density as well as borrowing conditions, we show that the demand for non-life insurance decreases with the borrowing rate. We separate between different non-life insurance lines, finding a stronger effect for the lines prevailing in advanced economic systems. Credit conditions turn out to be an important factor of non-life insurance development, and they help to explain the underdevelopment of insurance markets in Southern Italy.