Deep Learning Forecasting Model for Market Demand of Electric Vehicles

The increasing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) requires accurate forecasting to support strategic decisions by manufacturers, policymakers, investors, and infrastructure developers. As EV adoption accelerates due to environmental concerns and technological advances, understanding and predicting this demand becomes critical. In light of these considerations, this study presents an innovative methodology for forecasting EV demand. This model, called EVs-PredNet, is developed using deep learning methods such as LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and CNNs (Convolutional Neural Networks). The model comprises convolutional, activation function, max pooling, LSTM, and dense layers. Experimental research has investigated four different categories of electric vehicles: battery electric vehicles (BEV), hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), and all electric vehicles (ALL). Performance measures were calculated after conducting experimental studies to assess the model’s ability to predict electric vehicle demand. When the performance measures (mean absolute error, root mean square error, mean squared error, R-Squared) of EVs-PredNet and machine learning regression methods are compared, the proposed model is more effective than the other forecasting methods. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in forecasting the electric vehicle demand. This model is considered to have significant application potential in assessing the adoption and demand of electric vehicles. This study aims to improve the reliability of forecasting future demand in the electric vehicle market and to develop relevant approaches.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied Sciences
Published
2024-11-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/app142310974
Citations
12
Primary Topic
Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.23

Funders

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article

Deep Learning Forecasting Model for Market Demand of Electric Vehicles

Beste Desticioğlu Taşdemir, Ahmet Aksöz, Abdulkadir Şengür, Erdinç Koç et al.
12 citations
Applied Sciences
Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
1.23
article

Deep Learning Forecasting Model for Market Demand of Electric Vehicles

Beste Desticioğlu Taşdemir, Ahmet Aksöz, Abdulkadir Şengür, Erdinç Koç, Ahmed İhsan Şimşek, Muammer Türkoğlu
article en
12 citations

Abstract

The increasing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) requires accurate forecasting to support strategic decisions by manufacturers, policymakers, investors, and infrastructure developers. As EV adoption accelerates due to environmental concerns and technological advances, understanding and predicting this demand becomes critical. In light of these considerations, this study presents an innovative methodology for forecasting EV demand. This model, called EVs-PredNet, is developed using deep learning methods such as LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and CNNs (Convolutional Neural Networks). The model comprises convolutional, activation function, max pooling, LSTM, and dense layers. Experimental research has investigated four different categories of electric vehicles: battery electric vehicles (BEV), hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), and all electric vehicles (ALL). Performance measures were calculated after conducting experimental studies to assess the model’s ability to predict electric vehicle demand. When the performance measures (mean absolute error, root mean square error, mean squared error, R-Squared) of EVs-PredNet and machine learning regression methods are compared, the proposed model is more effective than the other forecasting methods. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in forecasting the electric vehicle demand. This model is considered to have significant application potential in assessing the adoption and demand of electric vehicles. This study aims to improve the reliability of forecasting future demand in the electric vehicle market and to develop relevant approaches.

Applied SciencesVol. 14(23)
Sivas Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi (TR), Fırat University (TR), Samsun University (TR), Turgut Özal University (TR)
Sivas Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 23%
Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
1.23
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