Predicting Wall Pressure Fluctuations on Aerospace Launchers Through Machine Learning Approaches

Artificial intelligence (AI) can be used to optimize the prediction of pressure fluctuations over the external surfaces of aerospace launchers and minimize the number of wind tunnel tests. In the present research, various machine learning (ML) techniques capable of predicting the acoustic load were tested and validated. The methods included decision trees, Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Support Vector Machines (SVMs), artificial neural networks (ANNs), linear regression, and ensemble methods such as bagged and boosted trees. These algorithms were trained using experimental data from an extensive wind tunnel test campaign conducted to support the design of a VEGA (Advanced Generation European Vehicle) launcher vehicle and provide wall pressure fluctuations in many configurations. The main objective of this study was to identify, among several algorithms, the most suitable method able to process such complex databases efficiently and to provide reliable predictions. Different statistical indices, including the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean square error (MSE), and a correlation coefficient (R-squared), were employed to evaluate the performance of the ML methods. Among all the methods, the bagged tree algorithm outperformed the others, providing the most accurate predictions, with low RMSE and high R-squared values across all test cases. Other methods, such as the ANNs and GPR, exhibited higher errors, indicating their reduced suitability for this dataset. The results demonstrate that ensemble decision tree methods are highly effective in predicting acoustic loads, offering reliable predictions, even for configurations outside the training database. These findings support the application of ML-based models to optimize experimental campaigns and enhance the design of aerospace launch vehicles.