Pressure Transient Analysis for Fractured Shale Gas Wells Using Trilinear Flow Model

Shale gas, a low-permeability, unconventional resource, requires horizontal drilling and multi-stage fracturing for commercial production. This study develops a trilinear flow model for fractured horizontal wells in shale gas formations, incorporating key mechanisms such as adsorption, desorption, diffusion, wellbore storage, and skin effects. The model delineates seven distinct flow regimes, providing insights into gas migration processes and the factors controlling production. Sensitivity analyses reveal that desorption plays a critical role under low-pressure and low-production conditions, significantly enhancing gas transfer rates from the matrix to the fracture network and contributing to overall production. Monte Carlo simulations further highlight the variability in pressure responses under different input conditions, offering a comprehensive understanding of the model’s behavior in complex reservoir environments. These findings advance the characterization of shale gas flow dynamics and inform the optimization of production strategies.