Global Solar Droughts Due To Supply‐Demand Imbalance Exacerbated by Anthropogenic Climate Change

Abstract Solar power will become the largest renewable energy source, contributing to global carbon neutrality. In addition to the well‐recognized temporal intermittency of solar energy supply, the local energy demand to cope with extreme weathers can further stress the energy grid; both the supply and demand can be greatly influenced by future climate change. Here, we redefine solar drought events by considering supply demand imbalance in solar power. Observation and multi‐model simulations reveal an anthropogenic exacerbation of global solar drought frequency in the past three decades. Moreover, compared to the pathway SSP2‐4.5, the carbon neutrality pathway SSP1‐2.6 can mitigate the increasing frequency and severity of solar droughts by 60% and 63% in the 2090s, respectively. Our study suggests a co‐benefit of solar energy stability and security toward carbon neutrality, especially in developing nations where the local supply demand imbalance is a major issue.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2024-11-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024gl112162
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Global Energy and Sustainability Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.51

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Global Solar Droughts Due To Supply‐Demand Imbalance Exacerbated by Anthropogenic Climate Change

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article

Global Solar Droughts Due To Supply‐Demand Imbalance Exacerbated by Anthropogenic Climate Change

Yangyang Xu, Deying Wang, Huizheng Che, Yadong Lei, Xiaochao Yu, Chenguang Tian, Zhili Wang, Junting Zhong, Lin Liu, Lei Li, Zhibo Li, Xiaoye Zhang, Lifeng Guo
article en
5 citations

Abstract

Abstract Solar power will become the largest renewable energy source, contributing to global carbon neutrality. In addition to the well‐recognized temporal intermittency of solar energy supply, the local energy demand to cope with extreme weathers can further stress the energy grid; both the supply and demand can be greatly influenced by future climate change. Here, we redefine solar drought events by considering supply demand imbalance in solar power. Observation and multi‐model simulations reveal an anthropogenic exacerbation of global solar drought frequency in the past three decades. Moreover, compared to the pathway SSP2‐4.5, the carbon neutrality pathway SSP1‐2.6 can mitigate the increasing frequency and severity of solar droughts by 60% and 63% in the 2090s, respectively. Our study suggests a co‐benefit of solar energy stability and security toward carbon neutrality, especially in developing nations where the local supply demand imbalance is a major issue.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 51(22)
Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CN), University of Gothenburg (SE), Texas A&M University (US)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
Global Energy and Sustainability Research
0.51
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