Application of Neural Network Technologies for Tectonic Earthquake Forecast

Successful earthquake prediction includes statistical, tectonic and physical forecasting. The main requirements for this are the establishment of the laws of earthquake mechanics and control of the geodynamic state in the region at the right times. However, resolving this issue faces difficulties of both theoretical and practical nature. Despite the fact that specialists all over the World have collected the fairly complete database on earthquakes, tectonic, electromagnetic, hydrological, etc. signs of earthquakes, the very nature of predicting the future source remains uncertain. The results obtained in the world on statistical forecasting using artificial intelligence give hope for the possibility of predicting earthquakes if we combine tectonic forecasting with the destruction of materials under experimental conditions and numerical modeling under the roof of deep learning neural network technologies. The paper provides the first results of predicting medium-term tectonic earthquakes using artificial intelligence for the Fergana depression in Uzbekistan.

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Publication Details

Journal
Геотектоника
Published
2024-11-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31857/s0016853x24040032
Primary Topic
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Application of Neural Network Technologies for Tectonic Earthquake Forecast

A. I. Atabekov, И. У. Атабеков
Геотектоника
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
article

Application of Neural Network Technologies for Tectonic Earthquake Forecast

A. I. Atabekov, И. У. Атабеков
article en

Abstract

Successful earthquake prediction includes statistical, tectonic and physical forecasting. The main requirements for this are the establishment of the laws of earthquake mechanics and control of the geodynamic state in the region at the right times. However, resolving this issue faces difficulties of both theoretical and practical nature. Despite the fact that specialists all over the World have collected the fairly complete database on earthquakes, tectonic, electromagnetic, hydrological, etc. signs of earthquakes, the very nature of predicting the future source remains uncertain. The results obtained in the world on statistical forecasting using artificial intelligence give hope for the possibility of predicting earthquakes if we combine tectonic forecasting with the destruction of materials under experimental conditions and numerical modeling under the roof of deep learning neural network technologies. The paper provides the first results of predicting medium-term tectonic earthquakes using artificial intelligence for the Fergana depression in Uzbekistan.

Геотектоника(4)
Academy of Sciences Republic of Uzbekistan (UZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
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