Statistical Investigation of Scientific Journals Impact Factors in Relation to Benford's Law

Benford's law (BL) has been used as a tool for the detection of possible data manipulation in datasets. The statistics of the first digit(s) of the observed values are compared to a set of expected values given by BL, and violations signal possible data anomalies. Though this method is first used for economical purposes, it has been recently used in bibliometric statistical analyses. The method provides alert that records may have certain unusual trends. In the present work, we investigate the impact factor statistics for 24 years starting from 1997 up to 2021, for open access and subscribed journals. We study conformity to BL using the basic first digit(s) violation test and the mantissa arc test, besides using the relative size factor test. Results show that open access journals adhere to Benford's Law more closely than subscribed journals.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-10-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/niles63360.2024.10753145
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Benford’s Law and Fraud Detection
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.71
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article

Statistical Investigation of Scientific Journals Impact Factors in Relation to Benford's Law

Islam Tharwat Abdel Halim, Mohamed Mahran Kasem, Marwa A. Sorour, Yassmine A. Marey
1 citations
Benford’s Law and Fraud Detection
0.71
article

Statistical Investigation of Scientific Journals Impact Factors in Relation to Benford's Law

Islam Tharwat Abdel Halim, Mohamed Mahran Kasem, Marwa A. Sorour, Yassmine A. Marey
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Benford's law (BL) has been used as a tool for the detection of possible data manipulation in datasets. The statistics of the first digit(s) of the observed values are compared to a set of expected values given by BL, and violations signal possible data anomalies. Though this method is first used for economical purposes, it has been recently used in bibliometric statistical analyses. The method provides alert that records may have certain unusual trends. In the present work, we investigate the impact factor statistics for 24 years starting from 1997 up to 2021, for open access and subscribed journals. We study conformity to BL using the basic first digit(s) violation test and the mantissa arc test, besides using the relative size factor test. Results show that open access journals adhere to Benford's Law more closely than subscribed journals.

Nile University (EG)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Benford’s Law and Fraud Detection
0.71
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