Quantiles of Мmax and Other Characteristics of the Seismic Field Used in the Compilation of General Seismic Zoning (GSZ) Maps

Abstract —A new probabilistic approach to the problem of estimating the regional maximum possible magnitude and some parameters of seismic impact is proposed. The methodology of its practical application is described, which is based on considering the maximum magnitude in the future time interval T as a random quantity and using its quantile with a given level of confidence as the regional maximum magnitude.

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Publication Details

Journal
Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth
Published
2024-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1134/s1069351324700769
Primary Topic
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
Type
article
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article

Quantiles of Мmax and Other Characteristics of the Seismic Field Used in the Compilation of General Seismic Zoning (GSZ) Maps

В. Ф. Писаренко
Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
article

Quantiles of Мmax and Other Characteristics of the Seismic Field Used in the Compilation of General Seismic Zoning (GSZ) Maps

В. Ф. Писаренко
article en

Abstract

Abstract —A new probabilistic approach to the problem of estimating the regional maximum possible magnitude and some parameters of seismic impact is proposed. The methodology of its practical application is described, which is based on considering the maximum magnitude in the future time interval T as a random quantity and using its quantile with a given level of confidence as the regional maximum magnitude.

Izvestiya Physics of the Solid EarthVol. 60(5)
Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics (RU)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 81%
Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
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