Burkina Faso security struggles will fuel inward turn

Significance This forms part of an ongoing campaign encouraging citizens to denounce suspicious behaviour to the authorities. The ruling junta’s increasing targeting of internal enemies reflects its wider failure to contain the spread of jihadist insurgents, despite major efforts to bolster the military. Impacts The benefits of cooperation with Mali and Niger will be real but limited, largely due to resource constraints. Despite growing popular anger, the junta may maintain a certain degree of popularity, especially in Ouagadougou, in the coming months. The junta’s heightened fear of coup plots may lead it to prioritise coup-proofing over military effectiveness.