Syria’s Deraa will see persistent low-scale violence

Significance Separately, local forces met in early November to address the deteriorating security situation in Nawa city. Small-scale security incidents have occurred on a regular basis in Deraa. However, these do not constitute a major new trend signalling the collapse of the government’s authority. Impacts Israeli military activity will target Hezbollah-linked infrastructure and logistical networks in southern Syria. Persistent instability could enable the Islamic State to regroup and operate more effectively in the south. Russia will likely engage Israel on ensuring the safety of its forces in Syria.