Interest Rate Cuts versus Stimulus Payments: An Equivalence Result

I derive a general condition on consumer behavior ensuring that, in a standard model of demand-determined output, any path of inflation and output that is implementable via interest rate policy is also implementable through time-varying uniform transfers. In an analytical model with occasionally binding borrowing constraints, my condition holds generically. In a quantitative heterogeneous-agent model, the transfer policy that closes any given demand shortfall is furthermore well characterized by a small number of measurable sufficient statistics. My results extend to environments with investment if transfers are supplemented by another standard fiscal tool: bonus depreciation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Political Economy
Published
2024-11-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1086/734096
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
7.46
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article

Interest Rate Cuts versus Stimulus Payments: An Equivalence Result

Christian K. Wolf
10 citations
Journal of Political Economy
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
7.46
article

Interest Rate Cuts versus Stimulus Payments: An Equivalence Result

Christian K. Wolf
article en
10 citations

Abstract

I derive a general condition on consumer behavior ensuring that, in a standard model of demand-determined output, any path of inflation and output that is implementable via interest rate policy is also implementable through time-varying uniform transfers. In an analytical model with occasionally binding borrowing constraints, my condition holds generically. In a quantitative heterogeneous-agent model, the transfer policy that closes any given demand shortfall is furthermore well characterized by a small number of measurable sufficient statistics. My results extend to environments with investment if transfers are supplemented by another standard fiscal tool: bonus depreciation.

Journal of Political EconomyVol. 133(4)
National Bureau of Economic Research (US), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
7.46
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