Impact of crisis events on stock market volatility and risks

The COVID-19 crisis, which occurred in 2020, brought crisis events back to the attention of scholars. With the increasing frequency of crisis events, the influence of crisis events on stock markets has become more obvious. This paper focuses on the impact of the subprime crisis, the Chinese stock market crash crisis and the COVID-19 crisis on the volatility and risk of the world’s major stock markets. In this paper, we first fit the volatility using EGARCH model and detect asymmetry of volatility. After that, a VaR model is calculated on the basis of EGARCH to measure the impact of the crisis event on the risk of stock markets. This paper finds that the subprime crisis has a significant influence on the risk of the stock market in China, US, South Korea, and Japan. During the COVID-19 crisis, there was little change in the average risk of each country. But at the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis, there was a significant increase in the risk of each country’s stock market. The Chinese stock market crash crisis had a more pronounced effect on the Chinese and Japanese stock markets and a lesser effect on the US and Korean stock markets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development
Published
2024-11-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd9770
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Impact of crisis events on stock market volatility and risks

Shairil Izwan Taasim, Adrian Daud, Yilin Zhu, Junjie Cai
Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Impact of crisis events on stock market volatility and risks

Shairil Izwan Taasim, Adrian Daud, Yilin Zhu, Junjie Cai
article en

Abstract

The COVID-19 crisis, which occurred in 2020, brought crisis events back to the attention of scholars. With the increasing frequency of crisis events, the influence of crisis events on stock markets has become more obvious. This paper focuses on the impact of the subprime crisis, the Chinese stock market crash crisis and the COVID-19 crisis on the volatility and risk of the world’s major stock markets. In this paper, we first fit the volatility using EGARCH model and detect asymmetry of volatility. After that, a VaR model is calculated on the basis of EGARCH to measure the impact of the crisis event on the risk of stock markets. This paper finds that the subprime crisis has a significant influence on the risk of the stock market in China, US, South Korea, and Japan. During the COVID-19 crisis, there was little change in the average risk of each country. But at the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis, there was a significant increase in the risk of each country’s stock market. The Chinese stock market crash crisis had a more pronounced effect on the Chinese and Japanese stock markets and a lesser effect on the US and Korean stock markets.

Journal of Infrastructure Policy and DevelopmentVol. 8(14)
Universiti Putra Malaysia (MY)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 75%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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