A Method to Detect Concealed Damage in Concrete Tunnels Using a Radar Feature Vector and Bayesian Analysis of Ground-Penetrating Radar Data

Many machine learning (ML)-based detection methods for interpreting ground-penetrating radar (GPR) data of concrete tunnels require extensive labeled damage-state data for model training, limiting their practical use in concealed damage detection of in-service tunnels. This study presents a probabilistic, data-driven method for GPR-based damage detection, which exempts the requirement in the training process of supervised ML models. The approach involves extracting a radar feature vector (RFV), building a Bayesian baseline model with healthy data, and quantifying damage severity with the Bayes factor. The RFV is a complex vector obtained by radargram data fusion. Bayesian regression is applied to build a model for the relationship between real and imaginary parts of the RFV. The Bayes factor is employed for defect identification and severity assessment, by quantifying the difference between the RFV built with new observations and the baseline RFV predicted by the baseline model with new input. The probability of damage is calculated to reflect the influence of uncertainties on the detection result. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through simulated data with random noise and physical model tests. This method facilitates GPR-based hidden damage detection of in-service tunnels when lacking labeled damage-state data in the model training process.