Smoking and outcomes in candidates for liver transplantation: Analysis of the Pulmonary Vascular Complications of Liver Disease 2 (PVCLD2)

Patients with chronic liver disease commonly have abnormal lung function; however, the impact of smoking on outcomes in these patients is unknown. We hypothesized current or past smoking would be associated with worse survival in patients with advanced liver disease. The Pulmonary Vascular Complications in Liver Disease Study 2 (PVCLD2) was a prospective cohort of patients with advanced liver disease undergoing evaluation for liver transplantation (LT). Patients were classified by self-report as a "non-smoker," "past smoker," or "current smoker." We used Cox proportional hazards models and Fine-Gray models with LT as a competing risk. Models were adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, race, family income, liver disease etiology, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium score. Of the 410 patients included, most (65%) were male and the mean age at enrollment was 56.5 years. One hundred sixty (39%) patients were nonsmokers, 183 (45%) were past smokers, and 67 (16%) were current smokers. In total, 151 (37%) patients received an LT, and 88 (20%) patients died. When compared to nonsmokers, current smokers had a 2.17-fold increase in risk of death overall (95% CI: 1.12-4.18, p = 0.02). There was a 7% increase in overall risk of death for every 5 pack-years increase (95% CI: 1.01-1.13, p = 0.02). With LT as a competing risk, the subdistributional HR of current smokers versus nonsmokers for death was 2.45 (95% CI: 1.31-4.60, p = 0.005). In this model, past smokers displayed a nonsignificant increase in the risk of death compared to nonsmokers (subdistributional HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 0.91-2.72, p = 0.10). Patients with advanced liver disease undergoing evaluation for LT who smoke have an increased risk of death. Smoking cessation could lead to improved overall survival with or without LT.