A mathematical study of the influence of media on the asymptotic dynamics of diseases

This study explores the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic epidemic model that accounts for the impact of media coverage. The initial focus lies on determining the conditions leading to the exponential extinction of the disease. Additionally, we investigate the weak convergence of the probability distribution of the stochastic process N(t), representing the total population, to a one-dimensional stochastic process with density calculated through the Fokker–Planck equation. Subsequently, we demonstrate the persistent nature of the disease and utilize Has’minskii theory to establish the presence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution for our stochastic epidemic model. Finally, numerical simulations are conducted to validate the theoretical findings.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Partial Differential Equations in Applied Mathematics
Published
2024-11-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.padiff.2024.100982
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.09

Funders

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article

A mathematical study of the influence of media on the asymptotic dynamics of diseases

Nabil Mlaiki, Lahcen Boulaasair, N. Seshagiri Rao, Salma Haque et al.
2 citations
Partial Differential Equations in Applied Mathematics
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
1.09
article

A mathematical study of the influence of media on the asymptotic dynamics of diseases

Nabil Mlaiki, Lahcen Boulaasair, N. Seshagiri Rao, Salma Haque, Hassane Bouzahir
article en
2 citations

Abstract

This study explores the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic epidemic model that accounts for the impact of media coverage. The initial focus lies on determining the conditions leading to the exponential extinction of the disease. Additionally, we investigate the weak convergence of the probability distribution of the stochastic process N(t), representing the total population, to a one-dimensional stochastic process with density calculated through the Fokker–Planck equation. Subsequently, we demonstrate the persistent nature of the disease and utilize Has’minskii theory to establish the presence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution for our stochastic epidemic model. Finally, numerical simulations are conducted to validate the theoretical findings.

Partial Differential Equations in Applied MathematicsVol. 12
Prince Sultan University
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
1.09
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