A Sequential Calibration Approach to Address Challenges of Repeated Calibration of a COVID-19 Model

This study used a sequential calibration approach, which takes advantage of previous calibration results to reduce the number of parameters to be estimated in each round of calibration, improving computational efficiency and algorithm convergence to best-fitting parameter values.Both sequential and traditional calibration approaches were able to identify parameter sets that closely reproduced calibration targets. However, the sequential calibration approach generated parameter sets that yielded tighter fits and was less computationally burdensome.Sequential calibration is an efficient approach to maintaining up-to-date models with evolving, time-varying parameters.

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Publication Details

Journal
Medical Decision Making
Published
2024-11-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/0272989x241292012
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A Sequential Calibration Approach to Address Challenges of Repeated Calibration of a COVID-19 Model

Szu‐Yu Zoe Kao, Shannon B. McKearnan, Stefan Gildemeister, Pamela J. Mink et al.
Medical Decision Making
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

A Sequential Calibration Approach to Address Challenges of Repeated Calibration of a COVID-19 Model

Szu‐Yu Zoe Kao, Shannon B. McKearnan, Stefan Gildemeister, Pamela J. Mink, Erinn Sanstead, Alisha Baines Simon, Karen M. Kuntz, Eva A. Enns, Zongbo Li
article en

Abstract

This study used a sequential calibration approach, which takes advantage of previous calibration results to reduce the number of parameters to be estimated in each round of calibration, improving computational efficiency and algorithm convergence to best-fitting parameter values.Both sequential and traditional calibration approaches were able to identify parameter sets that closely reproduced calibration targets. However, the sequential calibration approach generated parameter sets that yielded tighter fits and was less computationally burdensome.Sequential calibration is an efficient approach to maintaining up-to-date models with evolving, time-varying parameters.

Medical Decision MakingVol. 45(1)
University of Minnesota (US), Minnesota Department of Health (US)
Minnesota Department of Health
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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