Abstract 4146722: Incidence and Risk Factors for Atrial Arrhythmia in Adults with Systemic Right Ventricle

Introduction: The incidence and risk factors for atrial arrhythmia (AA) [atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL)] in adults with systemic right ventricle (SRV), specifically congenitally corrected-TGA (cc-TGA) and D-TGA palliated with atrial switch procedures, is not well understood. This study aims to better define these risks. Methods: Adults with SRV presenting to the Mayo Clinic between 1971 and 2022 were identified. Clinical characteristics, ECG and echocardiographic parameters were recorded at first evaluation. Sustained AA (> 30s) incidence at follow-up was documented using ECG. Cox regression analysis identified associations of incident AA. Results: Among 447 patients with SRV (mean age 34.7±14.8, 55.9% male, cc-TGA n=247; D-TGA post-atrial baffle n=200), AA was documented in 231 (51.6%) at a mean age of 37.5±18.8y. Isolated AF was observed in 88 (38.1%), isolated AFL in 71 (30.7%), and both AF and AFL in 72 (31.2%) patients. Univariate analysis showed significant predictors of AA as: age (HR:1.03, p<0.001), male sex (HR:1.49, p=0.026), NYHA class≥2 (HR:1.98, p<0.001), ventricular pacing (HR:1.64, p=0.019), QRS duration (HR:1.008, p<0.001), SRV enlargement (HR:1.73, p=0.01), SRV ejection fraction (HR:0.979,p=0.012), left atrial enlargement (HR:1.947, p=0.006), hypertension (HR:1.57, p=0.047), CKD (HR:0.991, p=0.021), and obesity (HR:1.66, p=0.023). In multivariable analysis, age (HR:1.032, p<0.001) and QRS duration (HR:1.007, p=0.013) were significant predictors of AA. Kaplan Meier analysis of time from first evaluation to incidence of AA is shown in the figure. AA was associated with heart failure in 56 (26.7%) patients. During 11.2±10.5 years of follow-up, mortality occurred in 50 (21.6%) with AA and 19 (8.8%) without AA. Conclusion: Atrial arrhythmia occurred in more than half of patients with SRV, predominantly in the third decade of life. Significant associations of AA included advancing age, longer QRS duration, enlargement of pulmonary venous atrium, reduced SRV function, hypertension and obesity. AA was associated with heart failure in one-fourth of patients and higher mortality. Close monitoring and early intervention in patients with risk factors may help mitigate the development of AA.