Dynamical behavior of a stochastic epidemic model with general incidence rate and Black-Karasinski process

Epidemics pose a serious threat to public health, and effective disease control measures are necessary. Vaccination is one of the most effective strategies. Considering the huge benefits of vaccination and the unpredictability of changes in the natural environment, we propose and investigate a stochastic susceptible-vaccinated-infected-recovered epidemic model with general incidence rate and mean-reversion process by incorporating the Black-Karasinski process into the vaccination strategy model. Firstly, the existence and uniqueness of the global solution of the model are proved theoretically. Then, by constructing several suitable Lyapunov functions and a compact set, the existence of the stationary distribution for the model is obtained. In addition, by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation and using the related algebraic equation theory, the probability density function of the model around the quasi-endemic equilibrium is derived. Finally, some numerical simulations are employed to explain our theoretical results.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Mathematical Physics
Published
2024-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0215337
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.63

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article

Dynamical behavior of a stochastic epidemic model with general incidence rate and Black-Karasinski process

Linfei Nie, Xiaohu Liu, Hong Cao
3 citations
Journal of Mathematical Physics
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
1.63
article

Dynamical behavior of a stochastic epidemic model with general incidence rate and Black-Karasinski process

Linfei Nie, Xiaohu Liu, Hong Cao
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Epidemics pose a serious threat to public health, and effective disease control measures are necessary. Vaccination is one of the most effective strategies. Considering the huge benefits of vaccination and the unpredictability of changes in the natural environment, we propose and investigate a stochastic susceptible-vaccinated-infected-recovered epidemic model with general incidence rate and mean-reversion process by incorporating the Black-Karasinski process into the vaccination strategy model. Firstly, the existence and uniqueness of the global solution of the model are proved theoretically. Then, by constructing several suitable Lyapunov functions and a compact set, the existence of the stationary distribution for the model is obtained. In addition, by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation and using the related algebraic equation theory, the probability density function of the model around the quasi-endemic equilibrium is derived. Finally, some numerical simulations are employed to explain our theoretical results.

Journal of Mathematical PhysicsVol. 65(11)
Xinjiang Institute of Engineering (CN), Xinjiang University (CN)
Natural Science Foundation of Xinjiang Province, National Natural Science Foundation of China
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
1.63
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