Abstract 4144346: Gender, Racial/Ethnic and Regional Differences in Trends of Stroke-related Mortality in Atrial Fibrillation: a National Database Analysis 1999-2020

Background: Stroke is a leading cause of death globally. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important modifiable risk factor for stroke. Ascertaining the burden of stroke in AF, its temporal trends and demographic disparities can inform public health policy measures. Aims To describe national temporal trends of ischemic stroke-related mortality in patients with AF and identify any differences by gender, race, ethnicity, or region. Methods: In this cross-sectional analysis we used death certificate data from the national CDC Wide-Ranging ONline Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) database for adults aged 35-84 years between 1999 and 2020. We queried for both ischemic stroke and AF as contributing or underlying cause of death. Crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were computed for the overall population and stratified by sex, race/ethnicity, geographic region, state, and rural/urban status. Joinpoint Regression Analysis software was used for trend analysis. Average annual percentage change (APC) in AAMR were computed using log-linear regression models. Results A total of 32,386 ischemic-stroke related deaths occurred in patients with AF between 1999 and 2020. Overall mortality trends were stable until 2014, sharply rose between 2014 and 2017 (APC 27.6% [95% confidence interval, CI, 18.8-33.4]), slowing down between 2017 and 2020 (APC 2.48 [95% CI, -4.81-7.03]). Overall AAMR per 100,000 was higher in men (1.00 vs 0.86 in women; Figure 1); Non-Hispanic Whites (0.98 versus 0.81 in Non-Hispanic Blacks and 0.70 in Hispanics; Figure 2), individuals in the Western census region (1.07 vs 0.95 in Southern, 0.92 in Midwestern and 0.78 in Northeast regions; Figure 3) and non-metropolitan areas (1.06 versus 0.91 in metropolitan). The rate of increase in AAMR over recent years was significantly greater in Black populations. Conclusion: Stroke mortality in AF rose sharply since 2014. Our findings underscore racial and geographic differences that exist in stroke-related deaths in the US.