Abstract 4138220: Traditional and HIV-specific Risk Factors Are Associated with Incident Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation and Atrial Flutter among Underrepresented Racial and Ethnic Minority Groups Living with HIV

Introduction: With effective antiretroviral therapy (ART), HIV can now be managed as a chronic disease. Chronic disease and cardiovascular risk factor management is especially important for underrepresented racial and ethnic minority groups (UREG). Non-valvular atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (NVAF) have not been adequately studied in UREG with HIV. Research Questions: Among UREG with HIV, what is the incidence of NVAF? What factors are associated with incident NVAF? Aims: To narrow an evidence gap among UREG with HIV by 1) describing the incidence of NVAF and 2) identifying factors associated with incident NVAF. Methods: This is an ancillary study of the Pathways to Cardiovascular Disease Prevention and Impact of Specialty Referral in Underrepresented Racial and Ethnic Minorities with HIV (PATHWAYS) study, a retrospective population-based study of HIV care patterns among UREG with HIV. Patients without a known history of NVAF entered our study cohort at the date of their first documented HIV diagnosis. We computed the cumulative incidence of NVAF over five years of follow-up (mean 3.4, SD 1.6), handling death as a competing risk. Cox regression analysis was used to examine the univariate associations between characteristics at HIV diagnosis and incident NVAF, adjusting for site and date of HIV diagnosis. Results: From 2015-2019, 10,945 UREG meeting entry criteria were identified. On average, patients were 67.1% male, 94.4% Black, and 8.5% Hispanic. Average CHA2DS2VASc score was 0.92 (SD 1.1) and 63.4% were on ART. Cumulative incidence of NVAF at one and five years after HIV diagnosis were 0.48% (95% CI 0.36-0.63) and 2.16% (95% CI 1.85-2.51), respectively. HIV-related factors associated with incident NVAF included baseline CD4 count <200 (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.20-2.80) and initial ART including protease inhibitors (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.14-2.13) and/or integrase strand transfer inhibitors (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.08-1.99). Additional associated factors included older age, Medicare, cardiology visit(s) in prior year, and co-morbid diseases including hypertension, hyperlipidemia, coronary and peripheral artery disease, prior stroke/transient ischemic attack, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease. Conclusions: In a large cohort of UREG living with HIV, both traditional and HIV-specific risk factors are associated with increased risk of incident NVAF. Interventions to mitigate NVAF risk in this population will require interdisciplinary, team-based approaches.