Performance evaluation of UKESM1 for surface ozone across the pan-tropics

Abstract. Surface ozone monitoring sites in the tropics are limited, despite the risk that surface ozone poses to human health, tropical forest and crop productivity. Atmospheric chemistry models allow us to assess ozone exposure in unmonitored locations and evaluate the potential influence of changing policies and climate on air quality, human health and ecosystem integrity. Here, we utilise in situ ozone measurements from ground-based stations in the pan-tropics to evaluate ozone from the UK Earth system model, UKESM1, with a focus on remote sites. The study includes ozone data from areas with limited previous data, notably tropical South America, central Africa and tropical northern Australia. Evaluating UKESM1 against observations beginning in 1987 onwards, we show that UKESM1 is able to capture changes in surface ozone concentration at different temporal resolutions, albeit with a systematic high bias of 18.1 nmol mol−1 on average. We use the diurnal ozone range (DOR) as a metric for evaluation and find that UKESM1 captures the observed DOR (mean bias of 2.7 nmol mol−1 and RMSE of 7.1 nmol mol−1) and the trend in DOR with location and season. Results from this study reveal that hourly ozone concentrations from UKESM1 require bias correction before use for impact assessments based on human and ecosystem health. Indeed, hourly surface ozone data have been crucial to this study, and we encourage other modelling groups to include hourly surface ozone output as a default.

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Publication Details

Journal
Atmospheric chemistry and physics
Published
2024-11-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-12537-2024
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.38

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Performance evaluation of UKESM1 for surface ozone across the pan-tropics

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Performance evaluation of UKESM1 for surface ozone across the pan-tropics

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article en
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Abstract

Abstract. Surface ozone monitoring sites in the tropics are limited, despite the risk that surface ozone poses to human health, tropical forest and crop productivity. Atmospheric chemistry models allow us to assess ozone exposure in unmonitored locations and evaluate the potential influence of changing policies and climate on air quality, human health and ecosystem integrity. Here, we utilise in situ ozone measurements from ground-based stations in the pan-tropics to evaluate ozone from the UK Earth system model, UKESM1, with a focus on remote sites. The study includes ozone data from areas with limited previous data, notably tropical South America, central Africa and tropical northern Australia. Evaluating UKESM1 against observations beginning in 1987 onwards, we show that UKESM1 is able to capture changes in surface ozone concentration at different temporal resolutions, albeit with a systematic high bias of 18.1 nmol mol−1 on average. We use the diurnal ozone range (DOR) as a metric for evaluation and find that UKESM1 captures the observed DOR (mean bias of 2.7 nmol mol−1 and RMSE of 7.1 nmol mol−1) and the trend in DOR with location and season. Results from this study reveal that hourly ozone concentrations from UKESM1 require bias correction before use for impact assessments based on human and ecosystem health. Indeed, hourly surface ozone data have been crucial to this study, and we encourage other modelling groups to include hourly surface ozone output as a default.

Atmospheric chemistry and physicsVol. 24(21)
Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute (PA), Met Office (GB), University of Leeds (GB), Universidade de São Paulo (BR), Princeton University (US), University of Exeter (GB), Ghent University (BE), ETH Zurich (CH), Universidad Nacional de Colombia (CO), National Nuclear Energy Agency of Indonesia (ID), National Research and Innovation Agency (ID), James Cook University (AU)
UK Research and Innovation, Sight Research UK, Met Office, Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek, Vlaamse regering, Natural Environment Research Council
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 38%
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
0.38
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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