Abstract 4114276: Identification of the heterogeneity in the risk of heart failure in those with left bundle branch block pattern using artificial intelligence

Introduction: The association between left bundle branch block (LBBB) and heart failure is well-established. However, the lack of a practical risk assessment tool for patients with LBBB poses a clinical challenge to the management despite the heterogeneity of the LBBB population. Hypothesis: Artificial intelligence (AI) can extract features to stratify the risk of heart failure (HF) within the heterogeneity of LBBB. Methods: All 12-lead ECGs diagnosed with LBBB recorded from 1/1/2015 to 12/31/2019 were identified in our institution. ECG data were analyzed as 2D matrices with a shape of 12×2500. The Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP) was used to visualize the heterogeneity of LBBB ECG. Additionally, a 2-dimensional convolutional neural network model was trained to detect LBBB ECGs associated with past HF diagnosis. The model was then applied to ECGs from an external cohort of patients with LBBB but without a history of HF. Cumulative incidences of HF admission were compared by stratifying according to tertiles of the model output (low, intermediate and high AI score groups) Results: We identified 15,124 LBBB ECGs in our institution (training dataset) and 2,463 individuals with LBBB ECGs in the external cohort (external test dataset). The UMAP projection of the ECGs revealed distinct heterogeneity in the data ( Fig A ). This heterogeneity was not fully explained by patient demographics, ECG features, or institutions. When the external cohort was divided into 3 groups according to the tertile of AI prediction, patients with high AI scores had a higher risk of HF admission (high vs low AI score group: hazard ratio (HR), 2.10; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.66-2.65; intermediate vs low AI score group: HR, 1.39; 95%CI, 1.08-1.78: log-rank p <0.0001; Fig 1B ). This finding was unchanged after adjusting for multiple clinical characteristics and ECG parameters, including QRS duration. Conclusion: We observed significant heterogeneity in ECGs presenting LBBB, and the AI model excellently stratified the risk of heart failure admission in patients with LBBB from a single recording of 12-lead ECG, suggesting great potential for clinical utility in managing patients with LBBB.