Abstract 4117883: Long noncoding RNAs and machine learning to improve cardiovascular outcomes of COVID-19
Introduction/Background: Cardiovascular symptoms appear in a high proportion of patients in the few months following a severe SARS-CoV-2 infection. Non-invasive methods to predict disease severity could help personalizing healthcare and reducing the occurrence of these symptoms. Research Questions/Hypothesis: We hypothesized that blood long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) and machine learning (ML) could help predict COVID-19 severity. Goals/Aims: To develop a model based on lncRNAs and ML for predicting COVID-19 severity. Methods/Approach: Expression data of 2906 lncRNAs were obtained by targeted sequencing in plasma samples collected at baseline from four independent cohorts, totaling 564 COVID-19 patients. Patients were aged 18+ and were recruited from 2020 to 2023 in the PrediCOVID cohort (n=162; Luxembourg), the COVID19_OMICS-COVIRNA cohort (n=100, Italy), the TOCOVID cohort (n=233, Spain), and the MiRCOVID cohort (n=69, Germany). The study complied with the Declaration of Helsinki. Cohorts were approved by ethics committees and patients signed an informed consent. Results/Data: After data curation and pre-processing, 463 complete datasets were included in further analysis, representing 101 severe patients (in-hospital death or ICU admission) and 362 stable patients (no hospital admission or hospital admission but not ICU). Feature selection with Boruta, a random forest-based method, identified age and five lncRNAs (LINC01088-201, FGDP-AS1, LINC01088-209, AKAP13, and a novel lncRNA) associated with disease severity, which were used to build predictive models using six ML algorithms. A naïve Bayes model based on age and five lncRNAs predicted disease severity with an AUC of 0.875 [0.868-0.881] and an accuracy of 0.783 [0.775-0.791]. Conclusion: We developed a ML model including age and five lncRNAs predicting COVID-19 severity. This model could help improve patients’ management and cardiovascular outcomes.
Authors
- Lina Badimón (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9162-2459)
- Marko Jordan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2074-4678)
- Bence Ágg (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6492-0426)
- Kanita Karađuzović-Hadžiabdić (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5097-9147)
- Costanza Emanueli (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2392-0702)
- Teresa Padró (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1921-954X)
- Bettina Benczik (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0379-2181)
- Markus W. Ollert (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8055-0103)
- Maciej Rosołowski (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3204-748X)
- Simona Greco (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0275-7221)
- Timo Brandenburger (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5376-7369)
- Muhammad Shoaib (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4854-4635)
- Péter Ferdinandy (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6424-6806)
- Gabriel R. Sánchez (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3234-1147)
- Muhamed Adilović (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5326-0944)
- Hueseyin Firat
- Yvan Devaux (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5321-8543)
- Mitja Luštrek (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3219-2935)
- Guy Fagherazzi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5033-5966)
- Prashant K. Srivastava (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1454-5493)
- Markus Scholz (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4059-1779)
- Andrew Howard Baker (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1441-5576)
- Fabio Martelli (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8624-7738)
- Andrew I. Lumley (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5935-3327)
- Venkata Satagopam (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6532-5880)
- Lu Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7141-6730)
- Pedro Domingo
- Joanna Michel
- Pranay Shah
Institutions
- Semmelweis University (HU)
- International University of Sarajevo (BA)
- University of Luxembourg (LU)
- Hospital de Sant Pau (ES)
- Jožef Stefan Institute (SI)
- IRCCS Policlinico San Donato (IT)
- Luxembourg Institute of Health (LU)
- Firalis (France) (FR)
- Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf (DE)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- Universitat de Barcelona (ES)
- Leipzig University (DE)
- University of Edinburgh (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Circulation
- Published
- 2024-11-12
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1161/circ.150.suppl_1.4117883
- Primary Topic
- Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00