A Data-Driven Analysis for Understanding and Risk Estimation of Discolouration in Drinking Water Distribution Systems

This paper presents machine learning analysis to understand the factors impacting iron concentrations and discolouration customer contacts in drinking water distribution systems. Fourteen years of network sampling and additional data from a large UK utility were collated, analysed, and interpreted using self-organising maps (SOMs), which include complex network theory (CNT) centrality metrics for the first time, investigating how possible explanatory variables interact. The outputs are used to inform ensemble decision trees for risk estimation of iron exceedance and customer contacts for each of the utility’s DMAs, helping inform proactive maintenance.