HPB O02 - On-site hepatobiliary surgery capability independently predicts treatment pathway completion in metastatic rectal cancer: A nationwide observational study of 15,727 patients

Abstract Background Stage IV rectal cancer carries a 10% 5-year survival rate (Jemal et al., 2005). Curative-intent management requires treatment of both the primary and metastatic disease. This study aimed to identify patterns in stage IV rectal cancer treatment pathway at population level across the UK, and to identify predictors of treatment pathway completion. Method Patient demographics and treatment data were extracted from the UK Colorectal Cancer Intelligence Hub’s CORECT-R repository, national chemotherapy (SACT), radiotherapy datasets (RTDS), and Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data. Treatment pathway completion was defined as receipt of intervention to the primary tumour, in addition to metastasis-directed therapy, or the combination alongside chemotherapy. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of treatment completion. Results A total of 15,727 patients with stage IV rectal cancer diagnosed between 2010-19 were identified. There was significant variation in proportion of patients with complete treatment between MDTs. Multivariable analyses showed that lack of on-site HPB surgery capability was the only predictor of failure to complete treatment (OR 1.22, 95%CI:1.07-1.38, p<0.01). Conclusion Across the UK, there is variation in Stage IV rectal cancer patients completing treatment for both their primary and metastatic disease. Further work is needed to determine whether differences in treatment pathways stem from variation in access to specialist services between cancer alliances or whether they are due to differences in MDT decision making.