BIOM-16. A TARGETED GENE EXPRESSION BIOMARKER PREDICTS LOW GRADE MENINGIOMA RECURRENCE AND OVERALL SURVIVAL

Abstract Targeted gene expression profiling improves risk stratification for meningiomas, but the utility of this approach for low grade meningiomas is incompletely understood. To address this, 466 meningiomas that were initially used to validate a 34-gene expression biomarker were combined with 270 previously unpublished samples for an analysis of biomarker performance in newly diagnosed (n=691) or recurrent (n=45) WHO grade 1 meningiomas treated with gross total (GTR) or subtotal resection (STR), and newly diagnosed WHO grade 2 meningiomas treated with GTR. Prediction of local freedom from recurrence (LFFR) or overall survival (OS) was measured using Cox proportional hazards models and the Kaplan-Meier method. The cohort included 736 patients, 69.4% female, with a median age at diagnosis of 58 years. There were 635 WHO grade 1 meningiomas, 498 with GTR and 133 with STR, and 101 WHO grade 2 meningiomas with GTR. The median follow-up was 4.6 years, the local recurrence rate was 12.0% and the rate of death was 8.4%. The biomarker classified 51.5% of meningiomas as intermediate risk and 9.6% as high risk. Combining the biomarker with extent of resection identified 19.7% as unfavorable (intermediate molecular risk with STR or high molecular risk), including 7.4% of newly diagnosed WHO grade 1 meningiomas with GTR. The risk score was prognostic for LFFR overall (hazard ratio per 0.1 increase in risk score 1.89, 95% confidence interval 1.58-2.25) and across WHO grades, extents of resection, and newly diagnosed or recurrent settings. Gene expression risk groups were prognostic for LFFR, with improved outcomes among low molecular risk compared to intermediate molecular risk (Log-rank, p=0.0002) and high molecular risk meningiomas (Log-rank, p<0.0001). These data suggest that a targeted gene expression biomarker can identify low grade meningiomas that are more likely to recur after surgery, possibly changing management for approximately one-fifth of cases.