Adjustment of trends in registered crime in Russia in the context of a special military operation and combined unlawful sanctions of the countries of the collective West (preliminary estimates)

The article examines changes in trends in registered crime that arose against the background of Russia's special military operation (SMO) and the use by the countries of the collective West of combined sanctions not provided for by international treaties (combined unlawful sanctions, CUS). Based on the analysis of indicators characterizing the results of the state response to crime registered in Russia over a long period, hypotheses are formulated about the main factors changing its trends in the latest conditions. Priority areas for strengthening law enforcement control over crime in the context of the SVO and CUS are identified. The need to recreate the criminological forecasting subsystem on new principles as part of the national system of socio-economic forecasting is substantiated.