Optimal vegetation coverage from the perspective of ecosystem services in the Qilian Mountains

Abstract The Qilian Mountains (QLMs) serve as a vital ecological security barrier in the northwest China, determining the optimal fractional vegetation cover (FVC) of different land-use types is crucial for ecological restoration and protection. Based on the normalized vegetation index, meteorological data, soil data and land-use data, the InVEST model, bivariate spatial autocorrelation and elastic analysis, we calculated the water conservation, soil conservation and carbon storage, analyzed the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of FVC and ecosystem services (ES) and the correlation between them. This study aims to evaluate the optimal FVC of the different land-use types and vegetation restoration’s effect on it in the QLMs. The results showed that the FVC and ES showed an increasing trend from 2000 to 2020, with a spatial distribution pattern of high values in the southeast and low values in the northwest. There was a significant and positive correlation between FVC and ecosystem service functions (p < 0.05), FVC had the most obvious effect on soil conservation, followed by water conservation. The optimal FVC varied by land-use type, with its value between 0.4 and 0.48 for forest land, 0.24 and 0.30 for grassland and 0.19 to 0.20 for unused land. In the eastern of the QLMs, nearly 70% of the forests and 50% of the grasslands exceeded the optimal vegetation coverage, while 36% of the grasslands and 62% of the unused lands were under-covered in the western of the QLMs. The findings suggest that differentiated ecological restoration and management measures should be formulated according to the status of vegetation restoration, to enhance the comprehensive capacity of ecosystem services in the QLMs.