Scale‐ and Variable‐Dependent Localization for 3DEnVar Data Assimilation in the Rapid Refresh Forecast System

Abstract This study demonstrates the advantages of scale‐ and variable‐dependent localization (SDL and VDL) on three‐dimensional ensemble variational data assimilation of the hourly‐updated high‐resolution regional forecast system, the Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS). SDL and VDL apply different localization radii for each spatial scale and variable, respectively, by extended control vectors. Single‐observation assimilation tests and cycling experiments with RRFS indicated that SDL can enlarge the localization radius without increasing the sampling error caused by the small ensemble size and decreased associated imbalance of the analysis field, which was effective at decreasing the bias of temperature and humidity forecasts. Moreover, simultaneous assimilation of conventional and radar reflectivity data with VDL, where a smaller localization radius was applied only for hydrometeors and vertical wind, improved precipitation forecasts without introducing noisy analysis increments. Statistical verification showed that these impacts contributed to forecast error reduction, especially for low‐level temperature and heavy precipitation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Published
2024-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ms004098
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.75

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article

Scale‐ and Variable‐Dependent Localization for 3DEnVar Data Assimilation in the Rapid Refresh Forecast System

Ting Lei, Daryl Kleist, Yongming Wang, Jacob R. Carley et al.
2 citations
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
0.75
article

Scale‐ and Variable‐Dependent Localization for 3DEnVar Data Assimilation in the Rapid Refresh Forecast System

Ting Lei, Daryl Kleist, Yongming Wang, Jacob R. Carley, Shun Liu, Xuguang Wang, Sho Yokota
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Abstract This study demonstrates the advantages of scale‐ and variable‐dependent localization (SDL and VDL) on three‐dimensional ensemble variational data assimilation of the hourly‐updated high‐resolution regional forecast system, the Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS). SDL and VDL apply different localization radii for each spatial scale and variable, respectively, by extended control vectors. Single‐observation assimilation tests and cycling experiments with RRFS indicated that SDL can enlarge the localization radius without increasing the sampling error caused by the small ensemble size and decreased associated imbalance of the analysis field, which was effective at decreasing the bias of temperature and humidity forecasts. Moreover, simultaneous assimilation of conventional and radar reflectivity data with VDL, where a smaller localization radius was applied only for hydrometeors and vertical wind, improved precipitation forecasts without introducing noisy analysis increments. Statistical verification showed that these impacts contributed to forecast error reduction, especially for low‐level temperature and heavy precipitation.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth SystemsVol. 16(11)
Lynn University (US), Japan Meteorological Agency (JP), NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction (US), NOAA Environmental Modeling Center, Meteorological Research Institute (JP), University of Oklahoma (US)
Mississippi State University, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of Science, NOAA Research
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 30%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
0.75
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