Stock Price Analysis Based on Time Range as a Basis for Determining the Optimal Forecasting Method

The modeling of stock prices for telecommunications companies in Indonesia (TBIG.JK, TLKM.JK, XL.JK, ISAT.JK, TOWR.JK) is examined in this study by considering three time periods: 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years. The analysis results indicate that the distribution of stock prices for each company and time period varies, with some stocks exhibiting a distribution close to normal while others show high kurtosis. These findings suggest that the assumption of normal distribution may not be appropriate for all cases, making it essential to select a stock price prediction model that takes into account the specific distribution characteristics for each company and time period

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Publication Details

Journal
EKSAKTA Journal of Sciences and Data Analysis
Published
2024-10-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.20885/eksakta.vol5.iss2.art1
Primary Topic
Economic and Technological Systems Analysis
Type
article
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article

Stock Price Analysis Based on Time Range as a Basis for Determining the Optimal Forecasting Method

Hari Muhammad, Pramesti Melyna Mustofa
EKSAKTA Journal of Sciences and Data Analysis
Economic and Technological Systems Analysis
article

Stock Price Analysis Based on Time Range as a Basis for Determining the Optimal Forecasting Method

Hari Muhammad, Pramesti Melyna Mustofa
article en

Abstract

The modeling of stock prices for telecommunications companies in Indonesia (TBIG.JK, TLKM.JK, XL.JK, ISAT.JK, TOWR.JK) is examined in this study by considering three time periods: 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years. The analysis results indicate that the distribution of stock prices for each company and time period varies, with some stocks exhibiting a distribution close to normal while others show high kurtosis. These findings suggest that the assumption of normal distribution may not be appropriate for all cases, making it essential to select a stock price prediction model that takes into account the specific distribution characteristics for each company and time period

EKSAKTA Journal of Sciences and Data Analysis
Siliwangi University (ID), Universitas Pamulang (ID)
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
Economic and Technological Systems Analysis
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