Assessing the Carbon Intensity of e-fuels Production in European Countries: A Temporal Analysis

The transport sector heavily relies on the use of fossil fuels, which are causing major environmental concerns. Solutions relying on the direct or indirect use of electricity through e-fuel production are emerging to power the transport sector. To ensure environmental benefits are achieved over this transition, an accurate estimation of the impact of the use of electricity is needed. This requires a high temporal resolution to capture the high variability of electricity. This paper presents a previously unseen temporal analysis of the carbon intensity of e-fuels using grid electricity in countries that are members of the European Network of Transmission System Operators (ENTSO-E). It also provides an estimation of the potential load factor for producing low-carbon e-fuels according to the European Union legislative framework. This was achieved by building on top of the existing EcoDynElec tool to develop EcoDynElec_xr, a python tool enabling—with an hourly time resolution—the calculation, visualisation, and analysis of the historical time-series of electricity mixing from the ENTSO-E. The results highlight that, in 2023, very few European countries were reaching low carbon intensity for electricity that enables the use of grid electricity for the production of green electrolytic hydrogen. The methodological assumptions consider the consumption of the electricity mix instead of the production mix, and the considered time step is of paramount importance and drastically impacts the potential load factor of green hydrogen production. The developed tools are released under an open-source license to ensure transparency, result reproducibility, and reuse regarding newer data for other territories or for other purposes.