Research on Asian Option Pricing Based on Uncertain Volatility

In this paper, we study the impact of introducing uncertainty volatility into Asian options pricing, with emphasis on the use of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. The traditional Asian option pricing model usually assumes that volatility is known and constant, but in the actual market, volatility is often uncertain and volatile. This paper first reviews the pricing theory of Asian options, and then introduces the hypothesis of uncertain volatility. By constructing the HJB equation based on uncertainty volatility, a new pricing method is proposed and verified by numerical simulation. The results show that after the introduction of uncertain volatility, the price range of Asian options expands significantly, reflecting higher market uncertainty and risk.

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Publication Details

Journal
Modern Economics & Management Forum
Published
2024-11-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.32629/memf.v5i5.2883
Primary Topic
Analysis of environmental and stochastic processes
Type
article
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article

Research on Asian Option Pricing Based on Uncertain Volatility

X. H. Wang, Yuan Chang
Modern Economics & Management Forum
Analysis of environmental and stochastic processes
article

Research on Asian Option Pricing Based on Uncertain Volatility

X. H. Wang, Yuan Chang
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we study the impact of introducing uncertainty volatility into Asian options pricing, with emphasis on the use of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. The traditional Asian option pricing model usually assumes that volatility is known and constant, but in the actual market, volatility is often uncertain and volatile. This paper first reviews the pricing theory of Asian options, and then introduces the hypothesis of uncertain volatility. By constructing the HJB equation based on uncertainty volatility, a new pricing method is proposed and verified by numerical simulation. The results show that after the introduction of uncertain volatility, the price range of Asian options expands significantly, reflecting higher market uncertainty and risk.

Modern Economics & Management ForumVol. 5(5)
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Analysis of environmental and stochastic processes
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Research on Asian Option Pricing Based on Uncertain Volatility — X. H. Wang, Yuan Chang · Modern Economics & Management Forum (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS