Long-term effects of Abay River flow regulation at Lake Tana on the geomorphic and ecological responses of the downstream river channels, Upper Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia

Alluvial rivers adjust their geometry in response to environmental and anthropogenic disturbances. Flow regulation results in a new geomorphic condition that affects the aquatic ecosystem and its nature. This paper examines the long-term effects of flow regulation on the geomorphic and ecological responses of the downstream river channels of the Abay River, which is the only natural outflow of Lake Tana, Ethiopia. Since 1996, the river's discharge regime has been affected by constructing a head-rise weir (Chara Chara) at its natural outlet for hydropower production and dam construction on the Lake Tana tributary rivers. Hydrologic data collected at the outlet of the river, SPOT, and Google Earth images were used for the study. River banks and bed topography were extracted via ArcGIS for selected study periods. The study revealed that existing water resource development on the tributary rivers of Lake Tana modified (decreased) the outflow discharge on the Abay River, and resulted a changed morphological and moderate level ecological impact on the river system. Future ongoing and planned water resource developments will exacerbate the pressure on the lake. Without careful management, these changes are likely to have severe morphological, ecological and social consequences.