Electricity Price Forecasting Enhancement Using Combined Model

Electricity price forecasting is an important tool for market participants to design bidding strategies in the electricity market. This paper introduces a combined neural network (c-NN) model that integrates Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, CNN-GRU hybrids, and Transformer models to address the volatility and nonlinear patterns of electricity prices. Our evaluation uses historical data from ERCOT Hub North prices to demonstrate that this integrated approach significantly outperforms individual models in accuracy. The findings suggest substantial financial benefits and support for renewable energy transitions, offering valuable insights for energy traders, grid operators, and policy makers. This research underscores the potential of combining machine learning (ML) models to enhance energy market analytics.

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Published
2024-10-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/naps61145.2024.10741813
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.21
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article

Electricity Price Forecasting Enhancement Using Combined Model

Mingze Li, Eric Lu
1 citations
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.21
article

Electricity Price Forecasting Enhancement Using Combined Model

Mingze Li, Eric Lu
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Electricity price forecasting is an important tool for market participants to design bidding strategies in the electricity market. This paper introduces a combined neural network (c-NN) model that integrates Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, CNN-GRU hybrids, and Transformer models to address the volatility and nonlinear patterns of electricity prices. Our evaluation uses historical data from ERCOT Hub North prices to demonstrate that this integrated approach significantly outperforms individual models in accuracy. The findings suggest substantial financial benefits and support for renewable energy transitions, offering valuable insights for energy traders, grid operators, and policy makers. This research underscores the potential of combining machine learning (ML) models to enhance energy market analytics.

University of Houston (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 46%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.21
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Electricity Price Forecasting Enhancement Using Combined Model — Mingze Li, Eric Lu · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS