Integrated Hybrid Modelling and Surrogate Model-Based Operation Optimization of Fluid Catalytic Cracking Process

Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC) is one of the most important conversion processes in oil refineries, widely used to convert high-boiling, high-molecular-weight hydrocarbon components from crude oil into more valuable products like gasoline and diesel. Advanced simulation and optimization technologies are critical for improving the operational efficiency and economic performance of the FCC process. First-principles-based simulators rely on parameter estimation and are computationally intensive, making them unsuitable for online optimization. In recent years, with the development of deep learning, data-driven models have made significant progress in FCC modeling. However, due to their black-box nature and difficulty with extrapolation, they are rarely used for optimization. To bridge this gap, we propose an integrated framework that combines hybrid modeling and surrogate model-based optimization. This approach combines plant and simulation data to train a multi-task learning prediction model, which then serves as a surrogate for operational optimization. Validated on a large-scale FCC unit in southern China, the model predicts product yields with an error margin of under 4.84% for all products. Following optimization, yields of LNG, gasoline, and diesel rose by an average of 0.10 wt%, 1.58 wt%, and 1.05 wt%, respectively, resulting in a 3.67% increase in product revenues. This highlights the substantial potential of this framework for industrial applications.