Leaning against the wind in the New Keynesian model with heterogeneous expectations

In this paper, we explore the efficiency of the Leaning Against the Wind (LAW) policy within the New Keynesian framework with heterogeneous expectations. To do this, we add a financial sector to the model, linking it with the real sector via the financial accelerator channel. We find that the range of parameters in the Taylor rule that enable the stability of the targeted equilibrium is reduced with the financial accelerator. However, expanding the Taylor rule via the LAW policy fails to counteract this effect and may even exacerbate it if the policy reacts to any mispricing. If applied conditionally on high mispricing, the LAW policy leads to co-existing stable targeted and non-targeted equilibria. Our simulations suggest that while the LAW policy can reduce the amplitude of endogenous fluctuations, it is inefficient in dealing with exogenous shocks and results in larger average deviations from the target.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Published
2024-11-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104993
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Leaning against the wind in the New Keynesian model with heterogeneous expectations

Fabio Lamantia, Davide Radi, Tomáš Tichý, Mikhail Anufriev
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Leaning against the wind in the New Keynesian model with heterogeneous expectations

Fabio Lamantia, Davide Radi, Tomáš Tichý, Mikhail Anufriev
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we explore the efficiency of the Leaning Against the Wind (LAW) policy within the New Keynesian framework with heterogeneous expectations. To do this, we add a financial sector to the model, linking it with the real sector via the financial accelerator channel. We find that the range of parameters in the Taylor rule that enable the stability of the targeted equilibrium is reduced with the financial accelerator. However, expanding the Taylor rule via the LAW policy fails to counteract this effect and may even exacerbate it if the policy reacts to any mispricing. If applied conditionally on high mispricing, the LAW policy leads to co-existing stable targeted and non-targeted equilibria. Our simulations suggest that while the LAW policy can reduce the amplitude of endogenous fluctuations, it is inefficient in dealing with exogenous shocks and results in larger average deviations from the target.

Journal of Economic Dynamics and ControlVol. 172
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (IT), University of Technology Sydney (AU), VSB - Technical University of Ostrava (CZ), University of Catania (IT)
Grantová Agentura České Republiky, Vysoká Škola Bánská - Technická Univerzita Ostrava, Australian Research Council
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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Leaning against the wind in the New Keynesian model with heterogeneous expectations — Fabio Lamantia, Davide Radi, et al. · Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS