Assessing groundwater quality in the northwestern coastal area of Sri Lanka using multivariate statistical techniques

The objective of the present study was to assess groundwater quality in the northwestern coastal region of Sri Lanka by analyzing hydrogeochemical data using multivariate techniques. The study examined the relationship between water quality and sources influencing groundwater quality and proposed useful statistical tools for water resource management. Descriptive, comparative, correlation, factor analysis (FA), and discriminant analysis (DA) were among the techniques used. The water quality in terms of electrical conductivity (EC), total dissolved solids (TDS), and dissolved nitrate and phosphate concentrations of the northwestern coastal area, where different aquifer conditions prevailed, were compared, and differences in the mean concentrations of the above parameters were identified. The study also employed ridge regression and support vector machines (SVM) to predict nitrate levels and validate the results using a 70:30 train/test split. The analysis found that the mean concentrations of EC, TDS, and HCO3- are higher in the sandy aquifer area, while Fe2+ and PO43- are higher in the regolith aquifer area. EC, TDS, PO43-, and HCO3- in the hard-rock aquifer area exceed permissible limits. Factor analysis identified four factors contributing to pollution, and a linear discriminant model classified all observations with 99.9% accuracy. The water quality index for Kalpitiya, Vanathavillu, and Katana-Negombo areas was 68.1, 99.2, and 287.9, respectively, while the World Health Organization (WHO) cutoff was 50. The use of multivariate statistical techniques demonstrated the value of analyzing hydrogeochemical data to gain valuable insights into the complex interplay of factors affecting groundwater quality. The SVM model, using a linear kernel, was identified as the best model to predict nitrate levels. A combination of statistical analyses reveals that, with the exclusion of a few wells, the groundwater in the study area is polluted and inappropriate for human consumption or culinary purposes. Nonetheless, the inhabitants persist in utilizing it as their primary source of drinking water. This study reveals the combination of statistical analyses is useful for the management of groundwater resources.