Factors influencing carbon and water use efficiency in changing environments

Introduction Vegetation plays a crucial role in terrestrial ecosystems, acting as a vital link connecting the lithosphere, hydrosphere, and atmosphere in terms of energy flow and material cycling. Changes in surface vegetation significantly regulate the water cycle, energy flow within terrestrial surfaces, and global carbon balance. Methods This study focuses on nine major river basins in China to quantitatively investigate the impacts of climate factors, vegetation dynamics, and land use changes on carbon use efficiency (CUE) and water use efficiency (WUE). Results The primary controlling factors of WUE trends are NDVI (average contribution: 33.75% ± 6.90%) and VPD (average contribution: 28.04% ± 3.98%). NDVI predominates in the Haihe, Yellow River, Yangtze River, Pearl River, and Songliao River basins, while shortwave radiation (Srad) dominates in the southeastern rivers and inland river areas, and humidity (Shum) in the southwestern river basins. For CUE trends, the main controlling factors are Srad (average contribution: 36.46% ± 3.40%) and precipitation (Pre) (average contribution: 26.72% ± 5.20%). NDVI negatively influences the Huaihe River and southeastern river basins, while Pre negatively influences the Songliao River and Yellow River basins, and Srad negatively influences the Huaihe and southwestern river basins. Pre predominates in the Huaihe, Songliao, Haihe, southwestern river basins, and inland river areas, while Srad predominates in the Pearl River, Yangtze River, and Yellow River basins. Discussion Climate factors and vegetation dynamics have significant regional impacts on WUE and CUE across different river basins, especially the roles of NDVI and VPD on WUE, and Srad and precipitation on CUE. These differences underscore the importance of developing region-specific management strategies to optimize ecosystem services in each basin.