Collocating wind data: A case study on the verification of the CERRA dataset

Abstract Wind resource assessment often relies on reanalysis data or meso-scale models due to the challenges and costs associated with on-site measurement campaigns, especially in offshore locations. While these datasets offer extensive spatial coverage, they often provide the desired parameters on a coarse grid only. The spatial averaging over the grid and the low frequency of the outputs hinders the model’s ability to capture the short-term wind speed variability and events with a time scale of a few minutes to a few dozen of minutes. In this paper we investigate the temporal scales of the wind events resolved by the Copernicus European Regional Re-Analysis (CERRA) dataset, ERA5, and an in-house regional down-scaling of ERA5 using the WRF model by comparing them against measurements. We propose a method to collocate the two sources of wind data (measured and modeled), focusing on the verification of CERRA with respect to first and second-order statistics in the North Sea. The results highlight the superiority of CERRA compared to ERA5 in estimating the wind speed distribution, improving the 95th percentile error from -0.85 to -0.19 ms −1 and the average bias from -0.286 to -0.004 m s −1 across all locations. The wind speed change over one hour is underestimated by both CERRA and ERA5 when collocated with 10-minute measurements at the full hour. However, hourly averaged measurements align well with CERRA’s wind speed variation predictions, while an averaging window of 3.5 hours is needed to align with ERA5’s hourly wind speed changes. The results showed that the synthetic wind speeds exhibit optimal correlation with the measurements when the measurements are averaged over 4.5 to 7 hours, depending on the modeled dataset. This time scale corresponds to a length scale of 160-250 km, assuming a mean wind speed of 10 m s −1 , which falls within the meso-scale range. The study contributes to the understanding of model validation in offshore wind energy studies, with the potential to enhance wind resource assessment calculations and improve the results of long-term extrapolations.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Physics Conference Series
Published
2024-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2875/1/012016
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.13

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article

Collocating wind data: A case study on the verification of the CERRA dataset

P. Meyer, Julia Gottschall, Farkhondeh Rouholahnejad
3 citations
Journal of Physics Conference Series
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
1.13
article

Collocating wind data: A case study on the verification of the CERRA dataset

P. Meyer, Julia Gottschall, Farkhondeh Rouholahnejad
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Abstract Wind resource assessment often relies on reanalysis data or meso-scale models due to the challenges and costs associated with on-site measurement campaigns, especially in offshore locations. While these datasets offer extensive spatial coverage, they often provide the desired parameters on a coarse grid only. The spatial averaging over the grid and the low frequency of the outputs hinders the model’s ability to capture the short-term wind speed variability and events with a time scale of a few minutes to a few dozen of minutes. In this paper we investigate the temporal scales of the wind events resolved by the Copernicus European Regional Re-Analysis (CERRA) dataset, ERA5, and an in-house regional down-scaling of ERA5 using the WRF model by comparing them against measurements. We propose a method to collocate the two sources of wind data (measured and modeled), focusing on the verification of CERRA with respect to first and second-order statistics in the North Sea. The results highlight the superiority of CERRA compared to ERA5 in estimating the wind speed distribution, improving the 95th percentile error from -0.85 to -0.19 ms −1 and the average bias from -0.286 to -0.004 m s −1 across all locations. The wind speed change over one hour is underestimated by both CERRA and ERA5 when collocated with 10-minute measurements at the full hour. However, hourly averaged measurements align well with CERRA’s wind speed variation predictions, while an averaging window of 3.5 hours is needed to align with ERA5’s hourly wind speed changes. The results showed that the synthetic wind speeds exhibit optimal correlation with the measurements when the measurements are averaged over 4.5 to 7 hours, depending on the modeled dataset. This time scale corresponds to a length scale of 160-250 km, assuming a mean wind speed of 10 m s −1 , which falls within the meso-scale range. The study contributes to the understanding of model validation in offshore wind energy studies, with the potential to enhance wind resource assessment calculations and improve the results of long-term extrapolations.

Journal of Physics Conference SeriesVol. 2875(1)
Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy Systems (DE)
Rijksdienst voor Ondernemend Nederland, Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Energie, Nederlandse Organisatie voor Toegepast Natuurwetenschappelijk Onderzoek
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
1.13
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