A Study on Time Series Models for Predicting Cucumber Shipment Using Smart Farm Data

This study utilizes data collected by the Rural Development Administration from smart farm sites to identify key variables affecting cucumber shipment and proposes the most accurate prediction model through comparative analysis of various forecasting models. The dataset includes daily weather conditions, cultivation environments, and management activities from 36 different crop seasons. The predictive models used in this study include Multiple Regression, ARIMA(Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average), LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory), and SARIMA(Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average). Model performance was evaluated using RMSE and MAE, with SARIMA demonstrating the best results. By optimizing the hyperparameters, SARIMA's prediction accuracy improved significantly, effectively capturing the strong seasonality in cucumber shipments.