A Decision Model for Ship Overtaking in Straight Waterway Channels

Overtaking situations are commonly encountered in maritime navigation, and the overtaking process involves various risk factors that significantly contribute to collision incidents. It is crucial to conduct research on the maneuvering behaviors and decision-making processes associated with ship overtaking. This paper proposes a method based on the analysis of ship maneuvering performance to investigate overtaking behaviors in navigational channels. A relative motion model is established for both the overtaking and the overtaken vessels, and the inter-vessel distance is calculated, taking into account the psychological perceptions of the ship’s driver. A decision-making model for ship overtaking is presented to provide a safety protocol for overtaking maneuvers. Applying this method to overtaking data from the South Channel shows that it effectively characterizes both the permissible overtaking space and the driver’s overtaking desire. Additionally, it enables the prediction of optimal overtaking timing and strategies based on short-term trajectory forecasts. Thus, this method not only offers a safe overtaking plan for vessels but also provides auxiliary information for decision making in intelligent ship navigation.