Prognostic role of prostate specific antigen kinetics in primary high volume metastatic hormonal sensitive prostate cancer treated with novel hormonal therapy agents

The prognostic value of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics in primary high-volume metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) patients treated with novel hormonal therapy agents is still unclear. Here, we retrospectively reviewed the data of 102 patients with primary high-volume mHSPC who received novel hormonal therapy agents. The median follow-up was 32.25 ± 14.51 months and the median nadir PSA (nPSA) was 0.20 (0.06, 11.71) ng/mL after treatment. The mean time to nPSA was 10.82 ± 7.27 months and 55 patients (53.9%) had a PSA-density (PSA-D) ≤ 0.08 at 3-months. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that the absence of visceral metastases, nPSA ≤ 0.2 and PSA-D ≤ 0.08 were independent prognostic factors for better PFS and OS (all P < 0.05). Moreover, patients with nPSA ≤ 0.2 and PSA-D ≤ 0.08 had the best PFS and OS, and the combination of the nPSA and PSA-D had a better predictive accuracy for PFS and OS than nPSA and PSA-D alone. Thus, Visceral metastases, nPSA and PSA-D were independent prognostic factors for primary high-volume mHSPC patients treated with novel hormonal therapy agents. Patients with lower nPSA and PSA-D had a best survival outcome, and the combination of nPSA and PSA-D had a better effect on prognosis predicting.