BP Neural Network Load Prediction For Low-Voltage Substations Considering Different Environmental Impacts

To reduce energy waste, improve energy utilization efficiency, and ensure power supply safety, short-term power load forecasting for low-voltage substations is essential. This article analyzes the load characteristics of typical low-voltage substations and establishes a short-term load forecasting model and solving algorithm for low-voltage substations based on them. By analyzing various factors that affect the load in the substation area, including weather, temperature, economy, time, etc., and obtaining the correlation between each factor and the load. Afterwards, the BP neural network was introduced and improved through the bacterial chemotaxis algorithm to obtain a predictive model. Finally, the accuracy and feasibility of the prediction model were verified through numerical examples, and it was proven that it can be used as a method and means for typical low-voltage substation load forecasting.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-09-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/itnec60942.2024.10733327
Primary Topic
Advanced Computational Techniques and Applications
Type
article
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article

BP Neural Network Load Prediction For Low-Voltage Substations Considering Different Environmental Impacts

Yao Duan, Minghui Yang, Jin Shang, Yongqing Li et al.
Advanced Computational Techniques and Applications
article

BP Neural Network Load Prediction For Low-Voltage Substations Considering Different Environmental Impacts

Yao Duan, Minghui Yang, Jin Shang, Yongqing Li, Hao Liu
article en

Abstract

To reduce energy waste, improve energy utilization efficiency, and ensure power supply safety, short-term power load forecasting for low-voltage substations is essential. This article analyzes the load characteristics of typical low-voltage substations and establishes a short-term load forecasting model and solving algorithm for low-voltage substations based on them. By analyzing various factors that affect the load in the substation area, including weather, temperature, economy, time, etc., and obtaining the correlation between each factor and the load. Afterwards, the BP neural network was introduced and improved through the bacterial chemotaxis algorithm to obtain a predictive model. Finally, the accuracy and feasibility of the prediction model were verified through numerical examples, and it was proven that it can be used as a method and means for typical low-voltage substation load forecasting.

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Advanced Computational Techniques and Applications
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