The Investigation and Implementation of Automated Pricing and Replenishment Decisions for Vegetable Commodities Relying on Time Series Forecasting and Linear Programming Models

In modern supermarkets, given the limited shelf life and the propensity for rapid declines in the sales of perishable goods, such as vegetables, it becomes imperative to conduct daily restocking based on historical sales and consumer demand to preclude the occurrence of undersold items the following day. Consequently, conducting restocking and pricing strategies based on sales and demand holds significant research importance for supermarkets. This study initially employs a multiple linear regression model to investigate the impact on profit by adjusting total sales (Q), sales price (P), and each component of cost-plus pricing (C, T, L, A), thereby determining the relationship between total sales and cost-plus pricing for each vegetable category, as well as the functional relationship between total sales and cost-plus pricing for each vegetable category. Based on the derived functional relationship, time series prediction and linear programming models are utilized to forecast the market demand for each vegetable category over a one-week period, subsequently formulating the daily restocking plan and pricing strategy for each vegetable category in the subsequent week to maximize supermarket profit while satisfying market demand. Finally, an analysis of saleable vegetable items reveals that 29 vegetable items can be displayed, with a total profit of 846.35 yuan. Upon testing the sales data of 300,000 vegetables, compared to the conventional display method sans the use of this model, the overall profit margin surged by 269.75 yuan, an increment of 47% relative to the initial profit, effectively enhancing the operational efficiency and profitability of the supermarket.

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Published
2024-09-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/itnec60942.2024.10733302
Primary Topic
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
Type
article
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article

The Investigation and Implementation of Automated Pricing and Replenishment Decisions for Vegetable Commodities Relying on Time Series Forecasting and Linear Programming Models

Xueling Long, Tao Guo, Yi Tong, Liang Deng et al.
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
article

The Investigation and Implementation of Automated Pricing and Replenishment Decisions for Vegetable Commodities Relying on Time Series Forecasting and Linear Programming Models

Xueling Long, Tao Guo, Yi Tong, Liang Deng, Jinxuan Zhou, Congao Zhang
article en

Abstract

In modern supermarkets, given the limited shelf life and the propensity for rapid declines in the sales of perishable goods, such as vegetables, it becomes imperative to conduct daily restocking based on historical sales and consumer demand to preclude the occurrence of undersold items the following day. Consequently, conducting restocking and pricing strategies based on sales and demand holds significant research importance for supermarkets. This study initially employs a multiple linear regression model to investigate the impact on profit by adjusting total sales (Q), sales price (P), and each component of cost-plus pricing (C, T, L, A), thereby determining the relationship between total sales and cost-plus pricing for each vegetable category, as well as the functional relationship between total sales and cost-plus pricing for each vegetable category. Based on the derived functional relationship, time series prediction and linear programming models are utilized to forecast the market demand for each vegetable category over a one-week period, subsequently formulating the daily restocking plan and pricing strategy for each vegetable category in the subsequent week to maximize supermarket profit while satisfying market demand. Finally, an analysis of saleable vegetable items reveals that 29 vegetable items can be displayed, with a total profit of 846.35 yuan. Upon testing the sales data of 300,000 vegetables, compared to the conventional display method sans the use of this model, the overall profit margin surged by 269.75 yuan, an increment of 47% relative to the initial profit, effectively enhancing the operational efficiency and profitability of the supermarket.

Wuhan Business University (CN)
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
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