Association of Liver Damage and Quasispecies Maturity in Chronic HCV Patients: The Fate of a Quasispecies

Viral diversity and disease progression in chronic infections, and particularly how quasispecies structure affects antiviral treatment, remain key unresolved issues. Previous studies show that advanced liver fibrosis in long-term viral infections is linked to higher rates of antiviral treatment failures. Additionally, treatment failure is associated with high quasispecies fitness, which indicates greater viral diversity and adaptability. As a result, resistant variants may emerge, reducing retreatment effectiveness and increasing the chances of viral relapse. Additionally, using a mutagenic agent in monotherapy can accelerate virus evolution towards a flat-like quasispecies structure. This study examines 19 chronic HCV patients who failed direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatments, using NGS to analyze quasispecies structure in relation to fibrosis as a marker of infection duration. Results show that HCV evolves towards a flat-like quasispecies structure over time, leading also to advanced liver damage (fibrosis F3 and F4/cirrhosis). Based on our findings and previous research, we propose that the flat-like fitness quasispecies structure is the final stage of any quasispecies in chronic infections unless eradicated. The longer the infection persists, the lower the chances of achieving a cure. Interestingly, this finding may also be applicable to other chronic infection and drug resistance in cancer.