Analysis and Prediction of Path Loss for Mobile Communication Lines in Nasarawa State Using Propagation Models

The design of future-generation mobile communication systems depends critically on the path loss prediction methods and their suitability to various signal propagation regions. Even though 5G has been launched in Nigeria, its deployment still faces significant challenges especially in the suburban, and non-urban regions which still depends on 4G. Many operators are still in the process of upgrading their existing 4G networks to support network coverage and higher speed data throughput. Due to the unique mix of Nasarawa State with diverse terrains, in this study, path loss prediction for the key telecommunication networks in Nasarawa State was carried out using Signal Strength Info App. Data was collected for a period of eight weeks (August, 2nd to September, 4th 2023) focusing on 4G LTE networks operating within the 1800 MHz frequency band. Analysis of path loss using empirical models such as Hata, Egli, and COST-231 Hata models were compared with the measured path loss in different terrains of urban, sub-urban, and non-urban environments. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) analysis was carried out between empirical and measured path losses. Results shows that, the order of mean predicted path loss at 5km was free space model (BN>CN>DN.AN), Hata model (DN>BN>CN>AN), Cos-231 Hata model (CN>AN>BN>DN), and Egli model (AN>BN>DN>CN). Hate model predicted the highest path loss values while Egli model predicted the lowest values. Overall, Egli model is found to be the most reliable and suitable path loss prediction model for entire Nasarawa State with RMSE value 5.99dBm, 2.90dBm and 3.14dBm for Nasarawa, Keffi and Akwanga LGA respectively. However, Cost-231 Hata model with RMSE value of 5.71dBm is suitable for path loss prediction in Karu due to its irregular terrain. The findings of this study are significant for practical applications in network planning, base station coverage, frequency allocation, and signal strength management, ensuring optimal mobile network performance across various terrains.