Trajectories of cold but not mechanical sensitivity correspond with disability trajectories after whiplash injury

Developmental trajectories for neck disability after whiplash injury have been identified. Their relationship to cold and mechanical sensitivity trajectories is not known. We aimed to (1) identify recovery trajectories of cold and mechanical sensitivity, (2) explore their codevelopment with disability trajectories, (3) identify predictors of sensitivity trajectories, and (4) explore codevelopment of cold and mechanical sensitivity trajectories. Participants (n = 233) were assessed at <1, 3, 6, and 12 months after whiplash injury. Outcomes were cold pain detection threshold (CPT at neck), pressure pain detection thresholds (PPT, neck C5, and tibialis anterior), and the Neck Disability Index. We used group-based trajectory models to identify postinjury recovery trajectories and multinominal logistic regression to explore associations between baseline characteristics and trajectory membership. We identified the following trajectory groups: CPT (low [50.0%], moderate [29.7%], and high [20.4%] sensitivity); PPT C5 (low [10.8%] and high [89.2%] sensitivity); and PPT tibialis anterior (low [23.9%], moderate [39.0%], and high [37.1%] sensitivity); all were stable over the 12 months. There was good correspondence between disability and cold sensitivity trajectory groups but not for mechanical sensitivity; cold and mechanical sensitivity trajectories were not well associated. Higher baseline pain predicted membership of the high cold sensitivity trajectory (RR 1.27, 95% CI 1.01-1.59) and hyperarousal symptoms predicted membership of the moderate cold sensitivity trajectory (RR 1.17, 95% CI 1.01-1.36). We found no associations between baseline characteristics and mechanical sensitivity. There is an interplay between cold allodynia, pain, and hyperarousal symptoms in development of ongoing disability after whiplash injury. Different mechanisms likely underlie cold and mechanical sensitivity.