Prediction of the Effectiveness of Deferred Retirement in the Labor Market Performance in China

Abstract: The analytical document touching upon the prospects of how delaying retirement affects labor market ability in China reveals some crucial information about the implications of the retirement age policy modifications. This test may indicate that the retirement age raise would be a huge factor in China's labor market status, such as employment level and national pension funds. Apart from this, the paper is a reminder for the authorities to have a broad policy discussion on diverse fiscal consequences that different retirement age policies may cause like wage inflexibility, disposable labor issues, and the aging population. These results demonstrate that the simulation should be considered for its interplay with individuals' lives as well as for the macro economy. To scrutinize the efficacy of postponing retirement within China's employment market performance, it's critical to deploy some economic theories. The first method involves the insights from both the Beveridge curve and job creation curve to dissect the nuances of job turnover rates, opportunities for finding new jobs, and their influence on unemployment figures. Delving deeper into pension fund ramifications necessitates assessing the shift from Defined Contribution (DC) schemes towards Defined Benefit (DB) plans, while also taking stock of how dependency ratios come into play. Moreover, gauging effects on incremental labor productivity alongside capital-to-labor ratio calls for an expansive view that considers changes across various industrial sectors and their broader consequences on the labor market as a whole.